Shock poll: Republican Ed Gillespie now leads Virginia governor race

Randolph Lopez
October 19, 2017

In another Virginia poll, Christopher Newport University says that Northam has a four point lead over Gillespie.

A new poll from Monmouth University shows Republican candidate Ed Gillespie holding a slight lead over Democrat Ralph Northam in the race to be Virginia's next governor.

Gillespie recently rolled out new ads targeting Northam for being weak on crime and illegal immigration, and 40 percent of responders said they only trust Gillespie on crime. She says they'll also be doing a more thorough screening of voters... because they really want make sure they poll people in the last two who will definitely vote. Northam stands at 48% to Gillespie's 44% with 5% of voters undecided. Democrat Phil Murphy's 47% to 32% lead over Republican Kim Guadagno is boosted slightly by those who consider Trump a factor in their decision, a segment in which Democrats outnumber Republicans.

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Northam had referred to Mr. Trump as a "narcissistic maniac", and was asked if he felt the president was fit for the office. She said in a press release that "there's plenty of room and time left for Northam to close the deal [or] for Gillespie to close the gap".

"Northam may hope there's a McAuliffe Effect to add to his advantage in the Trump Effect", said Quentin Kidd, director of the Wason Center.

Bitecofer says history shows in Virginia that governor's races become tighter the closer to Election Day that we get as "undecideds" jump off the fence. The survey's margin of error is +/- 4.2% at the 95% level of confidence.

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